Entropy, Compound and Game Theory

20221207 - Introduction 1 Academic analysis of the wealth elites? Interesting but hard. Part A Review of Existing Research, Research Questions and Methodology 6 20221208 - 1 Review of Academic Wealth Research 8 It's dangerous to let other people know that you are wealthy. Even scholars dislike the riches. Luckily people's attitude changed a lot in the past 50 years, so we know more and more about those billionaires. "Think and grow rich" is not completely wrong. If your identity(top priority) is "getting rich", and do everything for this goal, you are much more likely to make good money. However, is this really the best choice of our lives? Is there any survival bias? 20221208 - 2 Defining the Wealth Elite 24 2.1 Who are the economic elite? What is elite? I agree that we should it into three groups. 1. Based on reputation and status. Such as top professionals. 2. Based on money. Such as billionaires. 3. Based on power. Such as high level government officials...

20230212 - Introduction 11 Interesting. Can we rely on common sense to handle the current complicated society? How to tell and balance long term and short term benefit conflicts? Local and large area benefit conflicts? Regarding the 5000+ rules apply to apple orchard, most of them are used to avoid very rare incidents. But this should not be like car accidents: it doesn't make sense to apply so many rules to reduce the probability of very rare incidents. I guess the better way is to ask everyone to use common sense to protect themselves. Regarding the donation of the prom dresses, I don't understand why donation has to be unconditional. Regarding the airport security screening rules, I think it's to avoid noises from people's judgements. It's necessary. Law is for normal situation, not for rare exceptional cases. Thanks for the law designers, at least jury and judges can adjust the law a little bit. 20230212 - Part I Replacing A Failed Philosophy 19 20230212 - 1 Ame...

20221212 - Introduction How to handle tragedy? I believe Elon Musk gave us better solution: keep busy, look forward. But I agree that resilience is muscle, not bone. We can make it stronger. 20221213 - 1 Breathing Again "Children and adults recover more quickly when they realize that hardships aren't entirely their fault, don't affect every aspect of their lives, and won't follow them everywhere forever" p16 People are looking for narratives to explain everything, good or bad. Most of those narratives are wrong, like what Guy De Maupassan said:" Things are not as good we think, and they are not as bad as we think." "You don't merely suffer but have to keep on thinking about the fact that you suffer." p23 Well said! If we stop thinking about the suffer, the suffer would be much reduced. Unnecessary pain comes from subconsciousness. It comes from our mind. That's why zen suggests " Put it all down ": let go of your opinion, your...

20221128 - Introduction: "Step out of the car!" 1 Most of conflicts were caused by benefit conflicts. But a lot were caused by misunderstanding. Do we deserve to get this for free? Is it our rights to get this for free? This type of questions belong to the former. This book focuses on the latter. It's safe to say "good morning" to almost anyone, but further conversation could be dangerous. PART ONE: SPICE AND DIPLOMATS: TWO PUZZLES 20221128 - ONE: Fidel Castro’s Revenge 17 Puzzle Number One: Why can't we tell when the stranger in front of us is lying to our face? p27 Our subconsciousness is not reliable. It's not based on the first principle. How can we crack it? 20221128 - TWO: Getting in Know de Fuhrer 28 Puzzle Number Twe: How is it that meeting a stranger can sometimes make us worse at making sense of that person than not meeting them? p43 We are always looking for narratives to explain whatever we see or hear. But quite often this narrative is just ...

20221209 - Introduction The world is so complicated. Is it really possible to guide people toward the right direction? Can we guide AlphaZero? AlphaZero follows some rules, so we just need to set up right rules. For example, be tolerant to different opinions. Part I. The Long View 20221211 - Chapter 1: The Case for Longtermism We are not sure what we should do for long term benefit of human being. But there are something most likely good. For example, reduce the carbon emission, use sustainable energy to replace fossil energy, reduce pollution, be tolerant to different opinions, etc. That's the right way to go. Longtermism is the reflection of the ultimate desire of our gene. 20221212 - Chapter 2: You Can Shape the Course of History "Early plasticity, later rigidity". I think this is caused by MEME. But new MEME replaces old MEME all the time. We need to keep our mind open, so embrace the changing of MEME! Part II. Trajectory Changes 20221224 - Chapter 3: Moral Change Mor...

20220915 - Introduction De-globalization decrease general productivity, but make global economy more robust. I am surprised that Peter Zeihan said USA would benefit from de-globalization, but it makes perfect sense. USA is in very good geographical location, and almost all other countries would get negative impacts. 20220917 - Section I: The End of an Era 20220917 - How the Beginning Began For hunting and gathering lifestyle, people cannot stay in one place for more than a few weeks, as there will be no enough food to pick up. They have to keep wandering. It's hard to find proper location to start farming. The weather needs to be warm, so can do farming all seasons; it needs to have enough water to irrigate the plants; the land has to be easy to protect from other tribes, so they will not be robbed at harvesting time. So the best place is warm and low elevated river area which surrounded by desert or ocean. Energy is the key factor to civilization evolvement. Energy utilization imp...